Research betaScores illustrative · reporting dated
BLUE NETWORKNATO · QUAD · FIVE EYESREADINESS 74
STRATEGIC BALANCE4654
RED NETWORKCSTO · SCO · PARTNERSACTIVITY 81
ACTIVE CONFLICT SYSTEMCold War II2014–present · ACTIVE CONFLICT SYSTEM

The contemporary strategic conflict system beginning with Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine and continuing through today.

THE BOARD / 2014–present

A world of connected conflicts.

Explore the theaters, understand the relationships, and follow the evidence.

Discovery coverage
Mapped theaters
38
Country entities
206
Edition
Contemporary
EXPLORE THE MAPCold War II
38 theaters · 206 country entities
MAPPED THEATERS382014–present
CRITICAL THEATERS4Priority historical context
SOURCE LINKS167Attached reporting · overlapping coverage
CONFLICT MODECW IIACTIVE CONFLICT SYSTEM
DATA STATUSREVIEWED2026-10-08 · scores remain illustrative
DAILY PRIORITY BOARDMost active and consequential
Global operating pictureDATED CONFLICT BRIEFS · DEMONSTRATION SCORES
MAP LAYERS
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criticalEurope · FEATURED CONFLICT

Russia–Ukraine War

Repeated infrastructure and civilian-area strikes, Black Sea merchant attacks, and reported strikes inside Russia warrant refreshed air-war and maritime timelines. Territorial changes are not independently established by this pass.

Demonstration score
99/100
Updated
2026-10-08
Confidence
Medium
LATEST REPORT

2026-10-08: Turkey warns of increasing Black Sea attacks

CONTEXT & IMPACT

Definition: A mapped theater within the Cold War II conflict dataset.

History: The active dataset covers 2014–present; period and boundary changes remain versioned.

Belligerents: Russia · Ukraine

Impact: Revised civilian tolls · Winter energy disruption · Independent maritime attribution · Ground-control verification

Related: Georgia–Russia · Armenia–Azerbaijan · Kosovo–Serbia

THEATER WATCHLIST · DEMO RANKINGHottest Conflicts
HEAT IS ACTIVITY · NOT SEVERITY
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DATED REPORTING · REVIEWED 2026-10-08
Saudi Arabia–Houthis · 2026-10-08Türkiye specifies defensive support and rejects offensive roleRead source ↗
Saudi Arabia–Houthis · 2026-10-08Reported aircraft damage and disrupted flights at Riyadh airportRead source ↗
South Sudan · 2026-10-08Trauma care under pressureRead source ↗
Russia–Ukraine War · 2026-10-08Turkey warns of increasing Black Sea attacksRead source ↗
Russia–Ukraine War · 2026-10-08Kramatorsk bomb strike kills at least 33, authorities reportRead source ↗
Russia–Ukraine War · 2026-10-08Drone attack hits Yandex data centre in SasovoRead source ↗
COLLAPSIBLE INTELLIGENCE SUMMARYOperating PictureNetworks · metrics · priority board
BLUE NETWORKNATO · QUAD · FIVE EYESREADINESS 74
STRATEGIC BALANCE4654DEMONSTRATION INDEX
RED NETWORKCSTO · SCO · PARTNERSACTIVITY 81
MAPPED THEATERS38
CRITICAL4
SOURCE LINKS167
CURRENT MODECW II
DATA STATUSDEMO
DAILY PRIORITY BOARDMost active and consequential
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UPDATES FROM THE BUNKER

Open-source situational awareness for an uncertain world. Analytical, not operational guidance.

Methodology · Sources · Corrections
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